Tuesday, May 27, 2008

Why the murder rate will continue to drop

It is impressive the degree with which the most important stories are rarely told. One of the more interesting things I heard in the book microtrends is that young Black Americans are doing a great deal better than their parents or grandparents. Sure, they still have a ways to go to match White, Asian, or Middle Eastern Americans, but the change is impressive nonetheless. This will have huge beneficial effects on society as Blacks have historically been the race committing more crime than any other. Bringing large numbers of them out of poverty, and into mainstream American life would therefore make the United States safer for everyone.

Since Barak Obama would have to die, or get caught with a dead hooker, to lose the next election it is safe to say this trend will continue. I cannot imagine him not encouraging a great many young Black Americans to get an education.

"Among blacks 25 and older, 80 percent had at least a high school diploma in 2005, and about 1.1 million had advanced degrees, up from 677,000 in 1995. There were 2.3 million black college students in the fall of 2004, more than double the number in 1989. In 2005, there were 44,000 black physicians and surgeons, 79,400 postsecondary teachers, 45,200 lawyers and 49,300 chief executives. There were 1.2 million black-owned businesses in 2002, up 45 percent since 1997. Annual revenue: $88.6 billion."

"A sharp drop in teen pregnancy in the Washington area has been especially steep among African American girls. The nation's black teens now have lower rates of tobacco, drug and alcohol use than their peers. The number of black students graduating from the nation's high schools and going on to college continues to rise."


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